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The Friendship Recession: What the Data Actually Show About Shrinking Social Circles

3 the researchers behind itIf your inner script says 'everyone else has a full social circle and I'm the only one whose friendships thinned out', the data disagree. In 2021, 12%

Survey Center on American Life, American Enterprise Institute

Daniel A. Cox

Known for:Survey research documenting the American 'friendship recession' and the steep decline in men's close friendships

Key findings

  1. 2021

    In the May 2021 American Perspectives Survey, 12% of Americans reported having no close friends — versus 3% in 1990 — and Americans reported having fewer close friends, talking to them less often, and relying on them less for personal support than in decades past.

  2. 2021

    Men's friendships declined most sharply: the share of men with six or more close friends fell from 55% in 1990 to 27% in 2021, men with zero close friends rose fivefold from 3% to 15%, and men were far less likely than women to report recently receiving emotional support from a friend.

University of Kansas

Jeffrey A. Hall

Known for:Quantifying how many hours of shared time it takes to form friendships of different depths

Key findings

  1. 2018

    Tracking adults who had recently moved and first-year students, friendship developed along a dosage curve: roughly 50 shared hours to move from acquaintance to casual friend, about 90 to friend, and more than 200 to close friend.

  2. 2018

    Hours alone weren't enough: closeness grew with time spent hanging out, joking around and in meaningful conversation, while hours merely spent together at work or in class did little to turn colleagues into friends.

Duke University and University of Arizona

Miller McPherson

Known for:The 2006 'Social Isolation in America' study reporting shrinking core discussion networks — and the methodological debate it launched

Key findings

  1. 2006

    With Smith-Lovin and Brashears, he compared the 1985 and 2004 General Social Surveys and reported the mean number of confidants Americans discuss important matters with fell from 2.94 to 2.08 — with the modal respondent going from three confidants in 1985 to zero in 2004.

  2. 2009

    When Claude Fischer argued the isolation finding was likely a survey artifact, McPherson and colleagues published a formal reply defending the analysis while acknowledging the data's limits — an exchange that made the difficulty of measuring social isolation part of the published record.

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